Executive Summary As the war in Ukraine drags on, Azerbaijan and Turkey have emerged as key players in Europe’s strategy to diversify away from Russian energy. However, the prospect of a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire raises questions about the sustainability of Azerbaijan’s competitive advantage as a major alternative energy supplier to Europe. This paper analyzes the likely…

Summary: The recent visit of Syria’s Foreign Minister to Moscow marks a significant step in the Assad-successor government’s attempt to stabilize the country amid ongoing sectarian tensions and security friction with Israel. The visit highlights Damascus’s strategic interest in leveraging Russia’s long-standing presence and influence in Syria and the wider Mediterranean to contain internal unrest…

As the 50-day deadline issued by President Trump to Russia approaches its midpoint, a review of developments thus far—particularly the recent Istanbul meeting focused on prisoner exchanges—suggests that little meaningful progress is likely to emerge during the second half of this period. Key Targets: China and India While the ultimatum is formally aimed at Moscow,…

——- Abstract: As the Middle East remains a focal point of U.S. strategic interests, the return of Donald Trump to the White House is likely to accelerate a shift in American military posture—from ground-based engagement to air superiority. This commentary outlines the key features of Washington’s evolving military doctrine in the region and its long-term…

A Saudi delegation has traveled to Damascus to explore investment opportunities in the war-torn country. Riyadh is planning to invest $4 billion in Syria’s cement sector to help the country rebuild the destruction caused by the war. The planning of aid to Syria by Western powers, regional Arab countries, and Turkey has gained momentum following…

By observing recent geopolitical developments in the South Caucasus, two major trends can be identified:Türkiye has emerged as a key player by supporting Azerbaijan. Its involvement is evident through military cooperation and the deployment of its forces within Azerbaijani territory.Türkiye is facilitating Azerbaijan’s access to export oil and gas through pipelines that transit Turkish territory,…

After toppling Asad regime, Türkiye are enjoying its influence in Syria. Recently Ankara and Damascus reached a maritime agreement. The agreement can be considered as Turkish influence for pipeline of oil and gas from Iraq to the east of Mediterranean (banias port of Syria) and guaranteed to Europe.

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